The Map and the Territory 2.0

Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting

Alan Greenspan (Author) ... more
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Edition: US - Paperback / softback
價格:
銷售價格HK$131.00 原價HK$200.00
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Product Info
English
432 pages 13.82 x 21.34 x 2.34 公分
Approx. weight: 0.39 kg
Publication date: 28 Oct,2014
Barcode/ ISBN: 9780143125914 Penguin Books / Penguin

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描述

By: Alan Greenspan     

Like all of us, though few so visibly, Alan Greenspan was forced by the financial crisis of 2008 to question some fundamental assumptions about risk management and economic forecasting. How had our models so utterly failed us?

Virtually every day, we make wagers on the future - but, even when we're not driven by factors entirely beyond our conscious control, the maps by which we are steering are often out-of-date. The Map and the Territory is an important attempt to update our forecasting conceptual grid using twenty-first-century technologies, offering a lucid and empirical grounding in what we can know about economic forecasting and what we can't.

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