大話題:賽局理論

「要不要發射核彈」和「要去哪裡約會」有什麼關係? 最佳的選項,都由賽局理論決定!


版本 Edition: 平裝書 Paperback
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Sale priceHK$70.00 Regular priceHK$107.00
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Product Info
Chinese Age 13 - 17
平裝書 Paperback 176 pages 15.0 x 21.0 x 1.1 cm
Approx. weight: 0.5 kg
Publication date: 02 Mar,2023
Barcode: 9786267283035 讀書共和

More books in Chinese for Age 13 - 17

Description

作者: 艾文‧帕斯丁(Ivan Pastine)/ 圖瓦娜‧帕斯丁(Tuvana Pastine)

繪者: 湯姆‧赫伯司通(Tom Humberstone)

譯者: 葉家興


     
賽局理論不只有囚徒困境,而是生活中處處實用的利器!只要決策時要和對手互動,就是賽局。而怎麼選擇才能得到最好結果,就是賽局理論的著力之處。從誰要去洗碗,到銀行是否核准貸款,甚至全球核武對峙,都能利用賽局理論,找出理性推演的最佳解。
 
  想要贏,必須先了解自己處於什麼樣的賽局!本書帶領你用賽局理論的眼光分析生活情境:你和對手是同時做決定嗎,或者你可以觀察對方的行動再決定自己的下一步?你知道對手全部可能的選項嗎,或者只有片面資訊?你知道這場賽局會進行幾回合嗎,或者根本沒有最後一局?種種因素,都會影響你如何找出最好選項!
 
  如果理性推演出的結果不符期待,有什麼辦法可以改善?本書也介紹了你可以怎麼做來改變賽局理論的算式,進而促成想要的結果成為最佳解。你也能觀察廠商、雇主和國家的算計,用賽局理論理解廣告、薪資高低和政府政策背後的道理!
 
  ● 凱因斯如何用選美比賽解釋股票價格泡沫的原理?當代行為經濟學家塞勒在《金融時報》公開舉辦的猜數字比賽,又如何驗證了凱因斯分析的金融市場賽局?
 
  ● 老闆提供高薪,也是出於賽局理論的算計?看諾貝爾經濟學獎得主史迪格里茲如何分析勞動市場賽局,進而解答長久以來困擾學界的失業問題。
 
  ● 動物不懂數學,但族群數量的變化也可以用賽局理論預測?看演化生物學家如何應用賽局理論,分析生物適存度的計算。了解賽局理論廣博的應用範圍!
 
  兩位經濟學教授作者深知對初學者來說,許多賽局理論書籍的數學背景與呈現方式讓人覺得難以親近,因此在寫作時刻意減少了複雜的數學,而著重呈現核心概念。跟著書中一個個案例解析,你可以了解賽局理論的基本原理和應用,開始建立賽局理論的思維和眼光!
作者
 
艾文‧帕斯丁(Ivan Pastine)
 
  愛爾蘭都柏林大學教授。他運用賽局理論解釋金融危機的論文,是哈佛大學以及倫敦政經學院(LSE)博士課程的指定閱讀教材。
 
圖瓦娜‧帕斯丁(Tuvana Pastine)
 
  愛爾蘭梅努斯大學(Maynooth University)教授,研究領域為賽局理論應用,並針對許多主題發表論文,例如廣告與價格的動態關係、政治競選資金、教育部門的平權行動、主權違約、移工及國際貿易。
 
繪者
 
湯姆‧赫伯司通(Tom Humberstone)
 
  愛丁堡的漫畫及插畫藝術家,獲獎無數。他曾連續三年每周為《新政治家》(New Statesman)創作政治漫畫。現在仍然持續為《筆尖》(The Nib)、VOX、《衛報》、Vice、映像漫畫(Image Comics)等提供作品。
 
譯者
 
葉家興
 
  台灣苗栗人,台北建國中學《建中青年83-84》編輯。台灣大學電機工程學士、經濟學碩士,美國威斯康辛大學商學博士,現任香港中文大學金融學系副教授、香港精算學會諮詢委員會委員。著有《保險與理財:迷思和反思》、《陸生元年》、《未來事件交易簿》等,譯有《囚犯的兩難:賽局理論、數學天才馮紐曼,以及原子彈的謎題》、《當經濟指標統治我們》、《經濟學與社會的對話》、《糧食戰爭》等。

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